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Mapping Latin America's Renewable Energy Transition

10/31/2021

 
The following article and map were originally published by Diálogo Chino and are republished here under a Creative Commons license.

Investment in new fossil fuel production and unabated coal power needs to end this year if the global energy sector is to transition to net-zero emissions by 2050, a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) argued. A net-zero energy sector is viable but requires an “unprecedented transformation” in the way energy is produced, the IEA said.

Momentum for this global energy transition received a major boost on September 21 when China, the last major public financier of overseas coal power, pledged to cut support. Addressing the UN General Assembly in New York, China’s president Xi Jinping also promised backing for developing countries in their pursuit of low-carbon development.  

While slower than other developing regions, Latin America’s energy transition is underway, with unconventional renewables - namely solar, wind, and geothermal - growing their share in countries’ energy mixes. Chile, Uruguay and Costa Rica are among those leading the way and have invested heavily in unconventional renewable energy in recent years. Still, moving away from fossil fuels is proving difficult for a region that derives 75% of its primary energy supply from non-renewables. 
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New Interactive Map
With the region needing to accelerate the clean energy transition and attract financial support for its efforts, Diálogo Chino presents a unique interactive map that plots all of Latin America's networked wind, solar and geothermal energy projects, detailing their installed energy capacity, operational status and ownership.
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Hydropower, a major energy source for many countries, is not included in the dataset. Although considered a renewable source by many, hydropower projects are often associated with adverse impacts on people and biodiversity, involving large-scale deforestation and the relocation of communities who conserve forests. Moreover, their costs and construction typically overrun and changes in rainfall patterns mean that both their long-term reliability as an energy source and bankability as investments are far from assured. 

The data, which was compiled by cross-checking information from state sources, operating companies, industrial guilds and press releases, is intended to serve as a reference point for those hoping to understand Latin American countries’ progress in the clean energy transition. The information on the locations, financial backers and power sources helps build up a clearer picture of the main motors behind it.

Latin America’s renewable energy transition
Our map plots 850 non-hydro renewable energy plants in 24 Latin American and Caribbean countries for which we were able to collect data. For Brazil and Mexico, we set the minimum installed capacity for a project’s inclusion in the dataset at 50MW, owing to the sheer number of smaller projects. Of our total, solar power accounts for 49% while 46% are wind. The remainder is geothermal. More than three-quarters of the projects are owned by private companies. Chile accounts for almost a quarter of all projects on our map (24%), followed by Brazil (21%), Mexico (14%) and Argentina (9%). 

Over 80% of Chile’s plants are solar. In Uruguay, wind accounts for the same share. Argentina has a more even distribution, with 60% wind and 40% solar. These three countries have seen a big push for renewable energy in recent years, including the inauguration of Cauchari, Latin America’s largest solar plant - for now. 

Brazil’s northeast is seemingly on the cusp a solar revolution, with seven projects with an installed capacity of 1GW or more in the pipeline, including a major cluster in Juazeiro, Bahia, which has ideal climatic conditions, and the largest, Aurora Energia’s 5700MW plant in Matias Cardoso, Pernambuco. These are also located within the Caatinga biome. 86% of finance for wind and solar projects in Brazil comes from the private sector

Private capital is also leading the renewable energy transition in Brazil, financing 154, or 86%, of all projects. Only 8% of finance comes from state-owned companies – either Brazilian or Chinese. China is the only foreign country providing state finance to companies investing in solar and wind projects above 50MW in Brazil. In the Amazon region, Brazil has no projects of this size.

Mexico has a large concentration of wind farms in the south of Oaxaca state and most farms are located in the Yucatán peninsula in the eastern part of the country. Solar projects run down the middle of Mexico and also the north, where there is high long-term potential for photovoltaic power, according to the Global Solar Atlas. Despite high-levels of solar irradiation in such states as Sinaloa, there are no solar plants. Nor are there wind projects. In these states, governance is weak and security is a major concern.

The Andean region’s energy transition appears to be progressing slower than other Latin American sub-regions. Peru’s Amazon has only one renewable energy plant; the Atalaya Photovoltaic Solar Power Plant, while all others are located on the southern coast of the country, in the desert that extends into Chile. 

Set to be inaugurated in 2023, Bolivia’s 100MW Laguna Colorada Geothermal Power Plant will be the largest renewable energy project in the country, generating 50% of the country’s non-hydro renewable energy. All projects - operational or under construction - are in the hands of ENDE, Bolivia's national electricity company. 

Colombia has 38 projects under construction but only one currently operational wind plant, on the northern tip of La Guajira department. There have already been reported conflicts with indigenous communities over wind development in Colombia, which is set to expand considerably. Over the border in Venezuela, one single plant represents the country's only operational unconventional energy project. The country derives around 70% of its energy from the Guri hydroelectric plant.

Ecuador’s Galapagos Islands stand out in deriving all their energy needs from wind and solar energy projects. 

Renewable energy goals
It is technically and economically feasible to scale up renewable power in Latin America. Under a scenario set out by the International Renewable Energy Agency in which the global energy system is consistent with the Paris Agreement, 93% of the region’s electricity would come from renewable energy in 2050. 

This energy transition would not only clean up the grid but also boost the economy. A report last year by the Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) found that decarbonisation will generate 15 million new jobs overall and an additional 100,000 full-time jobs in the renewable electricity sector by 2030, compared to projections based on current trends.

There are many questions to be answered around China’s signal of greater support for renewables in developing nations. For example, it is as yet unknown whether the pledge includes hydropower. For Latin America, it could represent an opportunity to capitalise on the availability of new finance that enables it to reach its decarbonisation goals. 
 

Data compiled by Emilio Godoy, Damián Profeta, Jorge Chávez, Sarita Reed and Vinícius Henrique Fontana, with support from Robert Soutar, Fermín Koop, Alejandra Cuéllar, Jack Lo, Lívia Machado Costa and Flávia Milhorance. Map designed by Julia Janicki.

Latin America Projected to Add More Than 10GW of Wind and Solar in 2021

10/31/2021

 
Wind and solar installations in Latin America will bounce back in 2021 after a pandemic-related slowdown in 2020, according to analysis by Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Bloomberg NEF). Bloomberg NEF projects that new wind and solar installations will exceed 10 gigawatts (GW) for the first time in the region. They further project "around 30GW of total new additions through 2023, boosting cumulative utility-scale wind and solar capacity of 48GW today by two thirds."
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Ecuador Announces Two New Renewable Energy Auctions, Increases Country’s Solar Generation Capacity

9/20/2021

 
The government of Ecuador this month announced two new renewable energy auctions for a total allocation of 1 GW, according to PV Magazine. The first auction will be held at the end of November 2021 for 500 MW, an estimated investment of $750 million with projects required to be operational at the beginning of 2024. The second auction for an additional 500 MW is planned for 2022.
 
Last year, in its December 2020 renewable energy auction, the government awarded Solarpack Corporación Tecnológica, S.A. a long-term concession contract for the 258 MW solar PV project, El Aromo, located in the province of Manabí. This project will significantly increase solar generation capacity in Ecuador.
 
GlobalData, a data and analytics company, projects strong growth in Ecuador’s solar capacity during this decade: “With an expected growth of about 15% over the decade, an optimistic scenario reflects a situation where annual installations pick up the pace every year starting from 2023 …[with] cumulative installed capacity of more than 4GW by 2030.”
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Google Expands Solar-Powered Data Center in Chile with Additional Investment of $140M

9/29/2018

 
Google announced on September 12, 2018, that it plans to expand its Latin American data center near Santiago, Chile. Since 2017, the center has operated entirely on solar power from Chile’s Atacama region. The center is linked to California through a subsea cable. Google will invest an additional $140 million to expand the facility.

Google executives told Reuters that they had chosen Chile "because of its favorable climate for foreign direct investment, a clear regulatory framework and a good supply of renewable energy resources."

The International Energy Agency's 2018 review of Chile's energy policies found that the country "has emerged as a world-class destination for solar and wind energy developers."  The percentage of electricity generated from renewables has tripled in the past five years, increasing to 18% of Chile's electricity mix (excluding large hydro). Chile's favorable policies, renewable energy resource potential, and innovations in renewable energy auction design have been key factors in attracting investment.
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Solar PV Wins 80% of Brazil's Power Supply Auction with Average Price of $35/MWh

4/30/2018

 
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Brazil awarded 1,024.5 MW of clean power supply contracts in an energy auction held on April 4, 2018.

Reflecting solar's increasingly competitive pricing in Brazil, solar PV accounted for approximately 80% of total contracted capacity (806.6 MW). The final average price for solar was 118 BRL (US$35.2)/MWh, according to a report in PV Magazine.

The remaining capacity was allocated to wind (114.4 MW), biomass (61.8 MW), and small hydro projects (41.6 MW).

The April 2018 auction was the fifth national auction in Brazil that included solar PV. In the previous four auctions held between 2014 and 2017, a total of approximately 3.5 GW of large-scale PV capacity was allocated.

Also in April, Brazil's Ministry of Mines and Energy announced plans to hold a new energy auction on August 31, 2018 to contract power from wind, hydro, and thermal plants (biomass, natural gas and coal). The government will award power purchase agreements (PPA) with a term of 30 years for hydro, 20 years for wind, and 25 years for the other sources, according to a report in Renewables Now.

Costa Rica Achieves 98% Renewable Electricity in 2016

1/4/2017

 
The Central American country of Costa Rica has successfully transitioned to a grid powered by nearly 100% renewable resources, according to the Costa Rican Electricity Institute (ICE). The primary sources of Costa Rica's power are  hydro, goethermal, wind, biomass, and solar. Fossil fuels function as backup energy generation source, accounting for less than 2% of generation.

In 2016, Costa Rica relied on renewable sources for 98.12% of its electricity, an impressive achievement and consistent with the 2015 total of 98.99%. Costa Rica further reported that in 2016 it went 250 days using only renewable power sources. With the ability to maintain high levels of renewable electricity for two years, Costa Rica's electricity sector is a world leader in clean energy.

It should be noted, however, that Costa Rica's Reventazon Hydroelectric Project, the largest hydroelectric dam in Central America, has generated concerns due to its environmental impacts on river ecosystems and migrating wildlife, including jaguars. Accordingly, it is to be hoped that Costa Rica continues to invest in non-hydro sources of clean energy, such as wind and solar, which also offer the benefit of operating during the dry season, when hydroelectric production is less reliable.
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Clean Energy Investment, Installation, and Jobs Set New Records in 2015

6/2/2016

 
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2015 set new records for clean energy investment, installation and jobs globally, according to the latest Renewables Global Status Report published by REN21. Highlights include:

  • 120 gigawatts of non-hydro renewable power capacity were installed worldwide, increasing the global total to a record high of 785 gigawatts.
  • Record levels of investment - $286 billion - flowed to renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydro).

The green workforce also set a new record, rising 5% worldwide in 2015 to 8.1 million. Employment in the U.S. solar business grew 12 times faster than overall job creation, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency. There are now more jobs in solar than in oil, gas, and coal extraction in the U.S. (See below chart from Bloomberg).

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US Extends Renewable Energy Tax Credits

1/6/2016

 
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In December 2015, the U.S. Congress extending the Production Tax Credit for wind to 2019 and the Investment Tax Credit for solar to 2022.

The  package could produce about $73 billion in incremental wind and solar investment and 37 gigawatts of new wind and solar capacity — a 56% boost to the industry — over the 2016-21 period, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance estimates. Details on the extended residential renewable energy tax credits are here.

LatAm's Largest Solar PV Plant Inaugurated in Chile

10/18/2014

 
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Michelle Bachelet, President of the Republic of Chile; Isabel Allende, President of the Chilean Senate, and Máximo Pacheco, Minister of Energy attended the ceremonial installation of the first solar panel for the 141 Megawatt (MW) Luz del Norte Solar Power Plant on October 17, 2014. The project, which will use 1.7 million of Arizona-based First Solar’s photovoltaic thin film modules, is expected to be complete by December 2015, and will become the largest solar plant in Latin America. In June, the U.S. Overseas Private Investment Corp. (OPIC) approved a loan guarantee of $230 million to support construction. The International Finance Corporation (IFC), a member of the World Bank Group, also provided financing. A key component of the project is local workforce training.

“Projects, such as this show that Chile is progressing towards being a clean energy producing country. This year alone, we are incorporating more than 1000 MW of new energy to our system through different non-conventional renewable energies. This is an important step towards our 2025 target of having 20 percent of our energy coming from non-conventional renewable energies,” said Bachelet, speaking to a group gathered at the construction site. “Chile is in a position to be a leader in renewable energy in the Southern Cone, and in the Atacama region we are doing so. We must continue to assume leadership, and we must work as a team to assure the effort goes forward to attract more business and leverage greater economic growth.”

LatAm Is On Track to Install 9 GW of Solar Within 5 Years

10/17/2014

 
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The Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) region is on track to install 9 GW of solar PV within five years, according to a new report from NPD Solarbuzz . The LAC solar PV market now exceeds 22 GW of projects across all phases of development.  “Solar PV is now starting to emerge as a preferred energy technology for Latin American and Caribbean countries,” said Michael Barker, senior analyst at NPD Solarbuzz. “The region has high electricity prices and it also benefits from strong solar irradiation, which makes it a good candidate for solar PV deployment. As a result, experienced global solar PV developers are seeing strong solar PV growth potential in the region.”

Key findings from NPD Solarbuzz include:
  • Previously, the LAC region was confined to small-scale and off-grid solar PV applications, including rural electrification.
  • Today, however, solar PV is being targeted to address large-scale utility power project requirements, primarily in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico.
  • Many of these projects are being developed by experienced international firms, including leading U.S.-based companies First Solar, SunPower and SunEdison, and European developers Mainstream, Enel, and Solaria, which is increasing the likelihood that these projects will ultimately be executed.

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